Liberty will play football in just about two months. Jamey Chadwell enters his fourth year as the head coach in Lynchburg and looking to bounce back from a tough 2025 campaign where the Flames went just 4-8.
Let’s take a look at how the Massey Ratings see this season playing out with their win probabilities and projected score for Liberty’s 2026 season.
September 5th – at James Madison
Win % | 10%
Score | 38-14 Dukes
Record | 0-1
September 12th – vs Gardner-Webb
Win % | 89%
Score | 38-17 Flames
Record | 1-1
September 19th – vs Ball State
Win % | 73%
Score | 28-20 Flames
Record | 2-1
September 24th – at Coastal Carolina
Win % | 47%
Score | 28-26 Chanticleers
Record | 2-2
October 3rd – at Delaware
Win % | 60%
Score | 30-26 Flames
Record | 3-2, 1-0 CUSA
October 10th – vs Sam Houston
Win % | 74%
Score | 31-21 Flames
Record | 4-2, 2-0 CUSA
October 24th – at Kennesaw State
Win % | 62%
Score | 29-24 Flames
Record | 5-2, 3-0 CUSA
October 31st – vs FIU
Win % | 64%
Score | 30-24 Flames
Record | 6-2, 4-0 CUSA
November 7th – at New Mexico State
Win % | 60%
Score | 28-24 Flames
Record | 7-2, 5-0 CUSA
November 14th – vs Middle Tennessee
Win % | 71%
Score | 31-24 Flames
Record | 8-2, 6-0 CUSA
November 21st – vs Western Kentucky
Win % | 43%
Score | 31-28 Hilltoppers
Record | 8-3, 6-1 CUSA
November 28th – at Missouri State
Win % | 50%
Score | 28-27 Bears
Record | 8-4, 6-2 CUSA
Massey Ratings has Liberty finishing at 8-4 overall and 6-2 in Conference USA play. This would be a much better result than what the Flames saw last year, and could put the team in position to play for a CUSA Championship.
