On Thursday, the American Athletic Conference formally announced the addition of six new member institutions which is the next set of dominoes to fall in the FBS conference realignment puzzle. UAB, North Texas, Rice, FAU, Charlotte, and UTSA will bring the AAC’s membership total to 14 following the departure of Houston, UCF, and Cincinnati’s to the Big 12.

As news of the AAC’s move this week began to make traction, all attention then turned to the remaining Group of Five conferences, primarily the Sun Belt and Conference USA. All six new members of the AAC currently reside in CUSA, dropping that league’s membership total to just eight institutions – Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Marshall, Middle Tennessee, Old Dominion, Southern Miss, UTEP, and Western Kentucky.

Meanwhile, the Sun Belt is currently operating from a position of strength as teams such as Appalachian State, Coastal Carolina, and Louisiana have become nationally prominent in recent seasons. This has led many to speculate that the Sun Belt will turn to the CUSA for additional members and deliver what would be the final blow to CUSA as an established FBS conference.

Southern Miss has been the most widely regarded candidate to join the Sun Belt. It would make more sense from a geographic standpoint as the Golden Eagles are right in the heart of most of the Sun Belt’s West Division including Louisiana, South Alabama, and UL-Monroe. Another school that has been linked to the Sun Belt as a potential candidate is Marshall. Adding the Thundering Herd would help balance out the East and West members in the current 10-member league.

Losing Southern Miss would hurt the CUSA but not cripple it; however, losing Marshall as well would likely be a knockout punch to the conference. Reports surfaced on Wednesday, first reported by Chris Vannini of The Athletic, that the Sun Belt was targeting not only Southern Miss and Marshall but also Old Dominion and James Madison.

Meanwhile, CUSA is reportedly targeting JMU and Liberty with the intentions of keeping Marshall and ODU as part of a nine-team league with the CUSA only losing Southern Miss.

If that were to happen, the new look Conference USA would feature Liberty, James Madison, Old Dominion, Marshall, Florida International, Louisiana Tech, Middle Tennessee, UTEP, and Western Kentucky. Liberty athletic director Ian McCaw has frequently mentioned the possibility of a mid-Atlantic FBS conference, and these moves could lay the groundwork for such a conference.

Liberty is only 100 miles from James Madison, just less than 200 miles from Old Dominion, and less than 300 miles to Marshall. In recent years, Liberty’s athletic department has been able to make considerable strides in their relationship with nearby schools including ODU, JMU, and Marshall. While nothing has been formally announced yet about the next steps for the Sun Belt or Conference USA or where Liberty will fall once all the dust settles, the next few days and weeks will be interesting.